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Data row: Finance panel wants to reconcile conflicting numbers

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Published : May 9, 2019, 9:26 PM IST

NK Singh ,15th finance commission chairman

"We will try to reconcile and come to a conclusion on what we would consider reliable data in the public domain," NK Singh told reporters, adding the exercise will be carried out with the CAG and the Reserve Bank.

Mumbai: Amid concerns over data credibility, the 15th finance commission chairman NK Singh on Thursday said the panel is embarking on a prudential measure of reconciling all publicly available data and arrive at the best conclusion.

He, however, made it clear that the reconciliation exercise to be carried out over the next two days by senior panel officials, has nothing to do with data computation methods which have raised many eyebrows.

"We will try to reconcile and come to a conclusion on what we would consider reliable data in the public domain," Singh told reporters, adding the exercise will be carried out with the CAG and the Reserve Bank.

Also read: Finance Commission meets RBI Governor; discusses setting up of state-level commissions

"We may or may not succeed, but at least we must come to a conclusion that this is what we believe is the most credible before accepting it," he added.

He was replying to a specific query on whether the row over data credibility came up at the meetings with economists here as part of its two-day visit that concluded on Thursday.

Singh said while the issue did not feature in the meeting with economists, and suggested that the panel took the decision of data reconciliation proactively.

Asked if the panel regularly carries out such reconciliations, he said the exercise will "be within the bounds of acceptable and appropriate prudence to do so".

It can be noted that a group of over 100 top economists, from the country and outside, had earlier this year held a presser expressing concerns over "political interference" in statistical data, and had called for restoration of "institutional independence" and integrity of statistical organisations.

Their appeal came against the backdrop of the controversies over revision of GDP numbers which indicated even in the note-ban year, the economy grew higher the top GDP numbers reported during the previous Congress rule, and withholding employment data by the NSSO that showed that unemployment had hit a 47-year low in FY18, leading to the head of the organisation to quit in protest.

They said for decades, the nation's statistical machinery enjoyed high reputation for the integrity of the data it produced on a range of economic and social parameters.

"Our statistical machinery was often criticised for the quality of its estimates, but never were allegations made of political interference influencing decisions and the estimates themselves," the economists had said in the appeal.

The secretary of the 15th finance commission Arvind Mehta said all finance panels consult the CSO to get comparable series for state macro numbers.

"It is a normal practice that you are looking at different sets of data and you are consulting with various organisations and then you are trying to build up a series of comparables for the states especially for comparable data from the states," he said.

Meanwhile, Singh said GST mop-up has not been as healthy and the panel is set to have another round of meetings with the revenue department to understand the collection trajectory going ahead.

Congratulating the outgoing government for fiscal rectitude, Singh said the manifestos of both BJP and the Congress speak about the need for fiscal balance, and added that the same is necessary for growth and financial stability.

On the Reserve Bank's concerns on deviations between budget estimates and revised estimates, Singh drew attention to the actual outcomes in the states which illustrate that there is not much of a difference between the original estimate and the final outcome.

Singh said going forward, the declining national savings rate is a space that needs to be watched carefully.

Asked about the panel's timeline, he expressed hope of submitting the report on time as the panel has already visited 20 of the 29 states but is yet to get a formal memorandum from the Centre to finalise the report.

Among other challenges that the panel is confronting is the future of Centrally-sponsored schemes, he said, adding attempts to rationalise them have met with modest success so far.

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Data row: Finance panel wants to reconcile conflicting numbers
         Mumbai, May 9 (PTI) Amid concerns over data
credibility, the 15th finance commission chairman NK Singh
Thursday said the panel is embarking on a prudential measure
of reconciling all publicly available data and arrive at the
best conclusion.
         He, however, made it clear that the reconciliation
exercise to be carried out over the next two days by senior
panel officials, has nothing to do with data computation
methods which have raised many eyebrows.
         "We will try to reconcile and come to a conclusion on
what we would consider reliable data in the public domain,"
Singh told reporters, adding the exercise will be carried out
with the CAG and the Reserve Bank.
         "We may or may not succeed, but at least we must come
to a conclusion that this is what we believe is the most
credible before accepting it," he added.
         He was replying to a specific query on whether the row
over data credibility came up at the meetings with economists
here as part of its two-day visit that concluded Thursday.
         Singh said while the issue did not feature in the
meeting with economists, and suggested that the panel took the
decision of data reconciliation proactively.
         Asked if the panel regularly carries out such
reconciliations, he said the exercise will "be within the
bounds of acceptable and appropriate prudence to do so".
         It can be noted that a group of over 100 top
economists, from the country and outside, had earlier this
year held a presser expressing concerns over "political
interference" in statistical data, and had called for
restoration of "institutional independence" and integrity of
statistical organisations.
         Their appeal came against the backdrop of the
controversies over revision of GDP numbers which indicated
even in the note-ban year, the economy grew higher the top GDP
numbers reported during the previous Congress rule, and
withholding employment data by the NSSO that showed that
unemployment had hit a 47-year low in FY18, leading to the
head of the organisation to quit in protest.
         They said for decades, the nation's statistical
machinery enjoyed high reputation for the integrity of the
data it produced on a range of economic and social parameters.
         "Our statistical machinery was often criticised for
the quality of its estimates, but never were allegations made
of political interference influencing decisions and the
estimates themselves," the economists had said in the appeal.
         The secretary of the 15th finance commission Arvind
Mehta said all finance panels consult the CSO to get
comparable series for state macro numbers.
         "It is a normal practice that you are looking at
different sets of data and you are consulting with various
organisations and then you are trying to build up a series of
comparables for the states especially for comparable data from
the states," he said.
         Meanwhile, Singh said GST mop-up has not been as
healthy and the panel is set to have another round of meetings
with the revenue department to understand the collection
trajectory going ahead.
         Congratulating the outgoing government for fiscal
rectitude, Singh said the manifestos of both BJP and the
Congress speak about the need for fiscal balance, and added
that the same is necessary for growth and financial stability.
         On the Reserve Bank's concerns on deviations between
budget estimates and revised estimates, Singh drew attention
to the actual outcomes in the states which illustrate that
there is not much of a difference between the original
estimate and the final outcome.
         Singh said going forward, the declining national
savings rate is a space that needs to be watched carefully.
         Asked about the panel's timeline, he expressed hope of
submitting the report on time as the panel has already visited
20 of the 29 states but is yet to get a formal memorandum from
the Centre to finalise the report.
         Among other challenges that the panel is confronting
is the future of Centrally-sponsored schemes, he said, adding
attempts to rationalise them have met with modest success so
far. PTI AA
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